Activision Q1 2011 Earnings Call: The Important Stuff

by Dan on May 9, 2011

In the quarterly earnings call today, Activision’s bigwigs got on the horn and told the investors the good news — money was made from January to March of this year. The news wasn’t quite as eventful as last time (thankfully) and you can read the complete transcript if you like, but for gamers, there were some interesting bits worth noting:

What Was Said: Escalation will launch for PS3 “later in the quarter.”
My Take: Specifically, Activision Publishing CEO Eric Hirshberg said it would be launching “later in the quarter, and hopefully the [PlayStation Network] situation will be resolved by then.” Also, CFO Thomas Tippl noted that PlayStation Network’s outage may affect next quarter’s earnings. Details were not offered on exactly how much, but I think this was just to set expectations. The PSN outage’s effects will likely be felt for a while.

Escalation is coming for PS3 and PC. After that? They're still mum.

What Was Said: A new Call of Duty game is coming out later this year, but no title was named.
My Take: Last year, Activision said a COD title would be coming in 2011, so this is more a reassurance, but for anyone hoping to hear the name of the game or details about it, none were offered. “This year’s Call of Duty has a very high bar to exceed,” Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick acknowledged. Eric noted that this year’s game “has exceeded every internal milestone.” The suits promised we’d hear more details soon.

What Was Said: Blizzard has not confirmed a game for 2011 — but that means we should get two in 2012.
My Take: If you’re an investor, you want to know what’s coming as well as what isn’t. So if Activision and Blizzard don’t expect Diablo III to make this year, they have to say that. Blizzard Entertainment CEO Mike Morhaime said Diablo III  just went into internal beta, and there’s an external beta planned for Q3. But, as has always been their credo, Blizzard is not rushing anything to market. “I want to be clear that we do not have an official release date or window yet,” he said. “As always, we will not compromise the quality of the game in order to hit a window.” Remember that Cataclysm and StarCraft II both came out in 2010, so two in a year from Blizzard is not unheard of.

Eruptor from Skylanders lives on all platforms, apparently.

What Was Said: A few new Skylanders details were mentioned.
My Take:
The game made its debut at Toy Fair, but it was only shown to attendees on Wii. Eric mentioned that Skylanders is also coming to 360, PS3, Wii, handhelds, mobiles, and the web. The “web world” was mentioned before but the specific hardware platforms were not. Eric also said the game will come with a starter pack — the game, the portal that lets the toys interact with the virtual world, and three toys that let you play the game from start to finish. Additional toys will be made available later, and they’ll be priced at less than $10 each. The game is due out for the holiday. Hearing Bobby describe it as “one of the biggest investments we’ve ever made in a new intellectual property” and hearing these details, I am a little more interested.

What Was Said: Beachhead’s project is kind of a big deal. 
My Take: Eric said that Beachhead, the studio he announced on the last call, is creating an “all-new connected digital universe for the Call of Duty franchise. This platform will include a suite of services and content plan that will unite and ignite the community like never before. The platform will support in-game integration and bring online experiences and console play together for the first time.” He said it is ”an integral part” to the game in development, and also noted the Beachhead project has been in the works for two years — so clearly, this was percolating long before they actually announced the studio that is steering it.

What Was Said: Activision is STILL not charging for COD multiplayer.
My Take: While answering a follow-up question about Beachhead’s project, Eric clarified one more time for good measure: “While we are attempting to deliver new, incremental experiences [...] we are not attempting to monetize or take any experience away that currently comes as part of the value proposition of buying the game.” In other words, when it comes to charging for MP, no still means no. Bobby added: “Very importantly, our community of COD players is one we celebrate. You will see a lot of new services and capabilities that will be provided free of charge to all of our customers.” This rumor, of course, has been addressed definitively before.

Wipeout In The Zone will be Activision's first Kinect title

What Was Said: There are two Kinect games in the works for this year.
My Take: In addition to namechecking licensed games based on Transformers, X-Men, Spider-Man, James Bond, and Bakugan, Eric noted that Wipeout In the Zone as Activision’s first Kinect title for Xbox 360, and that the Cabela’s hunting franchise will expand “this year to include all-new peripherals and a brand-new Kinect experience.” I hope I get to run (in place) for my life from a rampaging grizzly bear!

What Was Said: Activision’s goal: Fewer games, better games.
My Take: “The best way to achieve success is to provide gamers with the highest possible creative quality,” said Eric, and later reiterated with the phrases “fewer, better franchises” and “fewer, better opportunities” during the call. Bobby took a historical look at it: ”This year, as in the last few years, we expect only a handful of franchises are likely to generate the vast majority of industry profits as players continue to grativate toward the very best entertainment experiences.” In other words…fewer games, better games.

What Was Said: StarCraft II’s expansion will be revealed soon.
My Take: Mike said Blizzard expects to show Heart of the Swarm, the first StarCraft II expansion pack, to the press later this month. Keep your eyes on your favorite PC gaming news source for that one.

First Strike had a major financial impact. You probably guessed that.

What Was Said: Digital product revenues were up 30% over this time last year.
My Take: That means “Activision sold a lot of DLC” — thank you, First Strike! (Actually, Eric did thank Treyarch and the rest of the Activision team for their hard work; he later noted that the community’s passion was “truly humbling.”) First Strike sold 1.4 million units in the first 24 hours, and sold about 20% more than the MW2 Stimulus Pack; it’s still early, but so far, Escalation is selling the same 20% over Resurgence. As for the overall 30%, I would also suspect the ability to download Cataclysm directly might add to this number, but when asked, Mike Morhaime noted that Blizzard doesn’t release the split between retail and digital when it comes to their games. But I am mentioning this here at the end because everybody seemed bullish on the idea of digital content on the call, so it might be something to watch.

There was more info, lots of it financial, but I thought this was what mattered most. If you have any further questions or clarifications, hit me below in the comments. I’ll tackle whatever I can from my notes.

  • http://twitter.com/Lando81 Landon VanBuskirk

    I hope the MW3 announcement happens soon. I anticipate it more now that ME3 is out of this year. Plus, I always look forward to a new IW game.

  • http://twitter.com/_SchmoGarcia Joe Garcia

    Pretty standard fare. I’m excited to hear more about Heart of the Swarm (as many are), and I’m more than a little intrigued by what Skylanders ends up like.

  • Krummey

    You guys have a lot of money. Can you make PSN come back sooner?

    Sincerely,
    One Track Mind

    Seriously excited about new COD and Diablo, though.

  • http://twitter.com/44Patriots44 Shawn

    Well why hasn’t the new cod been announced? If i remember correctly it usually has been by now with the trailer at E3 cuz trailers last year debut during the NBA playoffs in the end of may early june. Also unless the premium stuff from beach head is new guns or maps i dont think i care. Honestly i would pay $10 a month to have a game patched quickly and regularly with free maps added.

  • Anonymous

    Hey Dan, What about the COD that going to be coming out in Asia? I would just like to know more about it.

  • http://twitter.com/_SchmoGarcia Joe Garcia

    The NBA playoff are still underway and go into mid-June, and E3 is in early June anyway. I expect the floodgates to open then.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    They haven’t announced the next COD game because…well, I guess they aren’t ready to announce the next COD game. It’s like “Why hasn’t Spielberg shown anything on his next movie?” Well, I suppose he will show us when he has something to show, you know? I know you want to know, but most people don’t share info until they are really ready to do that. And you can’t really tell them to hurry. :)

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    It was mentioned during the call as part of this year’s COD online initiatives. An investor at the end asked if there was an update and if there would be any thought to it coming to Western markets. They said it’s in development, and while they would not rule out maybe bringing it to other areas, it was definitely going to be a China-only product for now, and is only being developed as such. So…kinda nothing new, and it didn’t sound like they would be showing it any time soon.

  • Anonymous

    Though Kinect is supposed to be the “controllerless experience” I think it would be better if a physical guitar or light gun (or nunchucks) could be used in conjunction with it. *cough*Guitar Hero/Cabela’s*cough* I don’t know if it has some limitation of tracking another object that’s not a body part though. Visually tracking the guitar for star power activation or shaking the neck for vibrato would be cool for GH though.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    Hehehe. Unfortunately, that one’s up to Sony. We’re waiting for the network to come back online too. Not only can gamers not play online, but nobody can buy DLC during this blackout either, so as gamers and as a business, nobody’s happy about it at Activision.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    I don’t think it’s a tracking limitation — from what I have seen, Kinect shoots out beams and looks to see what breaks those beams. So maybe it’s a case where you have a specific kind of reflective surface that would tag a guitar or a rifle or something. I think it might not match Microsoft’s ethos of “you are the controller” though — and I can see that being a bigger hurdle.

  • http://twitter.com/Bionic92 Bionic92

    It sounds like the Beachhead project will be a CoD version of Halo Waypoint.

  • http://twitter.com/VeRKK Omri Kalmi

    Great article Dan, some very interesting stuff from Activision looking at the near future.

  • http://twitter.com/zigs00 Edd

    Hmm, where you say “fewer games, better games,” I read it as “no new IPs, fewer risks.” Not that that’s inherently or necessarily a bad thing, but as someone who is not really a fan of any of Activision’s current roster of franchises, it’s not great news.

  • CubicleZombie

    Dan, perfect summary. Not too much, not too little. Just the facts as they related to your audience. Thanks again for the info!

    I take it nothing on the earnings call about selling those Call of the Dead posters huh? *Sad Face*

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    Alas no, but I hear they are fetching huge prices on eBay. I kind of thought the ability to download the image itself for free would have avoided that.

  • CubicleZombie

    eBay is the devil…

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    Activision tried to do a lot in the last two years — four new IPs in 12 months, lots of GH games while GH seemed hot — and found that the market just was not there for either plan. GH had peaked and more games was not the answer, as we’ve all now seen. So fewer games is exactly what gamers said they wanted to see.

    For all the criticism about “no new IPs,” well, Blur and Singularity were not well-guarded secrets; they simply did not sell the way everybody hoped. Gamers didn’t buy them, but they did buy COD. I know you see that logic, but at the same time…well, as the old show business maxim goes, give the people what they want. If every complaint about “no new IPs” had instead manifested as a sale for Blur or Singularity (or Prototype or DJ Hero), things could be very different.

    Of course, the gaming community seems to have taken a weird personal offense to both the GH and the new IP situation, but the only one who really suffered was Activision. Gamers didn’t have to bail Activision out financially for those risks, you know?

    I do see your point, and if you’re not into what Activision is offering, I understand that hearing “We’re doubling down on what currently works” isn’t something to celebrate. But when they went big, wide, and new, the results simply weren’t there.

    Oh, and don’t count out Skylanders. It’s not a game for the core gamer, but if I were 10 or 12, holy cow. That thing has massive potential and it’s in uncharted territory.

  • SpectralKnight

    Did anybody mention or have any idea of a possible console port of diablo 3 ?

  • http://twitter.com/44Patriots44 Shawn

    @oneofswords:disqus I’m concerned at the fact there has been no announcement. I love COD but the last 3 have been brought down by 1 giant issue. Black Ops not so much but it just is slow paced. Now with the reports of all the different people working on it and i can only guess that the old IW had already begun work on it. Now having a new group pick it up and it being there first game in the series. Worries me that it is just a complete mess that you guys are hiding. I hope its not and it resembles COD4 but im buying it regardless unless IGN or someone reports they disabled the ability for it to turn on lol.

  • joeyjoejoe

    Was anything said with regards to COD and PCs?

  • http://twitter.com/obiadekanobi adrian cole

    kotick taking all the credit again wish someone would pop the fukkers head

  • http://twitter.com/obiadekanobi adrian cole

    whey dan said hes not happy its getting to us all lol

  • http://twitter.com/Allanon6666 Jon Borgetti

    Where did you get that impression from? He was mentioned once in passing. When he was mentioned, it was about how Black Ops was really good and the next one has it’s work cut out for it (I don’t agree with that, but that’s another story).

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    Bobby Kotick said very little on this call. What did you feel he took credit for here that was unwarranted? Please explain, because that’s a strong comment.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    Aside from noting the PSN outage might lower Q2 earnings, they didn’t talk about specific platforms on this call; they talked about titles and plans.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    I honestly don’t think you should be concerned, then. Everybody wants to know this info, but that impatience to hear something does not suggest that something is wrong or being hidden.

    I guess it’s the difference between looking forward to hearing news and expecting to have heard that news already. It’s your expectations messing with your own head.

  • http://oneofswords.com/ Dan (OneOfSwords)

    No, nothing was said about platforms for Diablo III — earnings calls are generally not the place where platforms are announced, unless it’s part of a specific initiative (like if there is a new platform coming out, or if the company was going to get into a specific mobile platform or something).

  • http://kekerain66.hostablog.net kekerain66

    i like the feel of game!so cool

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